(This is part 1 of a multi series of upcoming posts about home ownership, VA loans, and how to profit while utilizing the benefits we get.)
As my rotation in this deployed location comes to an end, more and more I hear discussions about what people are going to do with their money. Some are taking trips, some are buying new vehicles, and many are talking about home ownership. When pressed on why they want a house in particular, the majority of them have the same answer.
“I am sick of wasting money on rent.”
Let me make one thing perfectly clear before we start any analysis with math, or hypothetical numbers. Renting is NOT throwing away money. Renting gives us the freedom, especially as military members, to walk away from one property to the other during PCS season, deployments, when our family size changes, or for whatever other reason. It gives us the ability to not have a second thought about that AC breaking or how we will pay for the new water heater. These things are especially important while we are thousands of miles away and are without the ability to make phone calls or even send e-mails. Additionally, it gives us a chance to pack up the place and put everything into storage while banking that sweet, sweet BAH during a deployment. Say it with me now. Renting is NOT a waste of money.
“But look, the landlord is getting rich off of my BAH, I could be the one getting rich off of my own BAH!”
Come to a full stop there. Owning a house is a risk just like any other investment. Unlike the majority of other investments, it may be the LEAST liquid. (Liquidity, in this sense, is used to describe how easy it is to convert an asset into cash.) Additionally, you have to worry about things like vacancies, depreciation, buying/selling fees, and of course – maintenance.
Now that that is out of the way, let’s look at some average numbers.
The median home in the US that is being bought/sold is $200,000 (as of June 2017) according to Zillow. Of course, that number will ultimately depend on the size of the house and possibly more importantly location as well as some other factors such as the materials used and so on. Since people are stationed from Travis/Los Angeles/Seattle/other HCOL areas to middle of nowhere LCOL places as well, this is the number I will use for the hypothetical situations I will calculate out. $200,000 will cost you a VA funding fee of $4,300 if it is your first loan that is usually rolled into your mortgage. In addition to the cost of the house, you will be responsible for paying property taxes and insurance. They will typically be 1.2% of the home’s cost and .35% respectively. A 30 year mortgage with great (720+) credit using today’s rate of 3.875 (or 4.047 APR) will ultimately cost you $1,219/month.
Keep in mind that this will lock you in for 30 years (or until you ultimately determine to sell the property). Additionally, taxes often go up and very rarely do they go down. Insurance prices will also typically increase from time to time. While these prices will not be significant, it is something to consider.
Additionally, (nearly) everything in that house is now your responsibility. Please do not think that a home warranty will cover everything, either. Home warranties exist to make money. They will nickel and dime you as much as possible and will fight you about a replacement, even if it makes more sense to do that vs yet another patchwork repair. So let’s bring up some of the recurring things you’ll need to fix.
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Roof – possibly the most expensive regular item you will have to consider. Homeadvisor.com lists an average national roof replacement price of $7,164. Warranties for most roof expire at 10 years, but they usually last for about 20 years. That’s an additional extra total expense of $29.85/mo
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AC – another pricy and regular item that needs repairs and replacements. An AC usually lasts for about 15 years, although after the 10 year mark it may make more sense to get a replacement over a repair. Average price is $5,230 using homeadvisor statistics. Using the 15 year mark, that’s another $29.06/mo
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Furnace – Using the same website to be consistent, their average price is $4,180. Many AC techs will advocate for a furnace replacement at the same time as the AC. However, the newer furnaces can last from 15-25 years, so I will use 20 years for this purpose. This expense will add an additional $17.42/mo
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Water heater – depending on what kind you get, this has a big difference as well. A tanked water heater runs approximately $1,000. A tankless is approximately $3,000. Tanked water heaters last 10 years on average while tankless ones last for 20+. The price per month then becomes $8.34/mo or $12.50/mo.
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Windows – Windows will typically be rated for 10-20 years. Because windows are usually an afterthought for most people and do not get replaced until absolutely necessary, we’ll use the 20 year number for this. Adjust your price accordingly. An average window replacement house across the US is $5,011 or $20.88/mo
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Flooring – this will likely have the biggest variance due to the greatest amount of choices on materials. Carpet will need replacement more often. Vinyl/Linoleum slightly less so. Hardwood and tile will be the most resilient.
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Carpet – national average of $1,586. California law dictates that carpet’s useful life is 8-10 years. At 10 years replacement, the cost is $13.22/mo. This does not include carpet cleaning in the meantime.
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Vinyl/linoleum – vinyl lasts from anywhere between 10-20 years. Linoleum lasts from 20-40. Since most people care relatively little about their flooring unless there are serious issues with it, I’ll use the max time for both. Their costs are similar and the national average for this replacement job is $1,362. The monthly cost then breaks down to $5.68/mo and $2.34/mo respectively.
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Hardwood flooring – Average price for this is $4,404. The life expectancy really depends from 20-30 years for engineered wood or potentially the lifetime of the house with real wood, if properly taken care of. Using a 30 years replacement figure (or maybe first install), this will cost you $12.23/mo
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Appliances – your washer and drier, fridge, microwave, oven and the like will all need to be replaced with similar life expectancies of about 10 years. After personally shopping for the above, I think $2,000 is a fair low range average. This brings the average extra monthly cost to $16.67/mo.
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Misc expenses – While truly unquantifiable, you need to consider things like sink fixtures, bathtubs, toilets, lawn care, interior and exterior paint, the occasional plumber/electrician/HVAC tech calls and the like.
Not counting item 8, this brings your previous $1219/mo to at least $1,343.56 if you use the low ranges of those replacements. Going with higher ranges/quality items will increase that figure proportionally. Do you know how much you pay for the above while renting? In most cases – NOTHING!
Of course some areas are very obviously tilted towards owning almost no matter what the other circumstance are, but those areas are getting more difficult to find since investors will be looking to buy out those locations to rent out.
Not counting those outliers, assuming you are ok with the above because you believe you are “building equity” and “paying yourself”, you have to consider what happens once you PCS. Because you put 0% down, you have no equity in the house to start off. The overwhelming amount of your payment will go into interest rather than the principal amount borrowed. While you did not have to pay any kind of commissions while buying, you will likely have to pay them while selling. The total average commission is 6% (3% to buying/selling agent) which amounts to $12,000 when selling that $200,000 house. $12,000 will take you over 3 years – or 39 months to be exact – to reach if you are lucky enough to qualify for that 4.067% APR. Still think renting is a waste of money?
Keep in mind that that those 39 months are for you to walk away from the house purchase with $0 to your name, even though you have spent at least $47,541 without counting ANY replacement/maintenance fees ($1,219/mo). Unfortunately, I was unable to find any data on today’s statistics, but according to an article on militarytimes.com(1) from September 2015, the military moves at least half of its service members anywhere between 32-38 months. Of course there are outliers, but this is strictly the average. As you can see, that time frame is a bit lower than the 39 months you’d need to break even on that house purchase. You also need to account for the time to sell. While some housing markets close within a week of making the house available for showing, others take weeks and even months. My first house, for example, was on the market for almost a year while the owner (a captain) continued to pay mortgage for an empty place throughout that time period. Talk about throwing money away!
Of course, it is not all doom and gloom about home ownership. Like I said before, you get nearly complete control of whatever you want to do with your place, which you can’t put a price on. You also have a unique situation of buying a home without having to save tens of thousands of dollars or pay for Property Mortgage Insurance (PMI) and, given proper research, can turn it into a successful investment. In the near future, I will be going more in depth over real estate investing and how the VA loan can be used to help.
The bottom line is that while ownership is far more expensive than it seems, it can indeed be more beneficial to renting, especially in areas where the rents are vastly over priced in comparison to the home of the houses. It’s up to you to do the research necessary to see whether that is the case or not around the location you are at. I am hoping that this will encourage folks to do that research instead of just jumping on the propagated train of thought that “renting is a waste of money”.
If you have rationally decided that purchasing a house is the best plan of action for you, I will be tackling what exactly the VA process entails and some of the issues you may face while going through the home buying experiences in the next post.
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https://www.militarytimes.com/2015/09/12/pcs-costs-rising-across-the-force-even-as-moves-decline/
- The reason why most averages are from homeadvisor.com is due to the direct responses of various members. This seems to make sense to get averages from as all responses are based on multiple thousands of data points.